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Showing posts with label Ginny Brown-Waite. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Ginny Brown-Waite. Show all posts

Monday, July 12, 2010

Stop the King-Making

The invulnerability of incumbents in Florida was explored and verified by Politifact today, a day after a judge tossed a proposal by the Legislature intended to protect lawmakers' ability to craft an even stronger suit of armor. For those who witnessed the reapportionment process in 2002, all of this confirms just what a mess was made of the last redistricting process. Unfortunately, I remain unconvinced that a better system will exist in two years, but forces of good are at work on the issue, and I wish them the best.

As I have written before, the over-exertion of political desires has always hurt reapportionment. Historically, those lawmakers who chair the committees in the Legislature tasked with reapportionment have ended up with Congressional seats of their own. Karen Thurman. Mario Diaz-Balart. Ginny Brown-Waite. Peter Deutsch. What do all of these current and former U.S. Representatives have in common? If you said they all ran away from their own voters to run in their brother's district, well, you only got one out of four.

But more than likely, you correctly guessed that each one as redistricting chair made sure districts were drawn which made their own promotion to the U.S. House much easier. This isn't about party. This is all about power, and very personal power at that.

Of course, there was something particularly disturbing about the way the process went down in 2002. It reached beyond a few specific districts, and was more important than the GOP's determination to get two to four more seats in Congress. While we in the press were focused on the upcoming Thurman v. Brown-Waite contest that would inevitably come, most of the lawmakers in Tallahassee were doing something more selfish. The GOP at the time had three-to-one control of the state House and near that in the state Senate. But the partisan domination was not the biggest thing that really happened that year.

The first wind I got of it came when all the state Senate districts got renumbered. Why would that happen, I asked? Soon it was pointed out to me that in most cases, even-numbered districts became odd-numbered. The reason was a complicated loophole in Florida's term limit rules, limits which had just gone into effect shortly before the redistricting process. Florida voters had decided "Eight is Enough" when it came to years of service for lawmakers. For those in the House, "Eight" meant eight. State representatives run every two years, and there was no way around that. But the state Senators found a fix. Because the even-numbered districts run staggered from the odd-numbered, changing the numerology offered the chance for incumbents to cheat an extra two years, presuming they had not already served their eight years and were not already planning to retire.

Too much techno-babble? Let me use this Central Florida example. I lived in District 11, and my state Senator had been elected to a four-year term in 1996, then re-elected in 2000. Every seat had to go up for re-election after redistricting, but theoretically,my Senator in 2002 should only have run for a two-year term, then been forced to retire. Instead, I suddenly found myself in District 20. That meant my Senator, after serving a four-year term and a two-year term, was running for another four-year term. If she had served out her term, she would have gotten 10 years before being term-limited. The same situation benefited nearly every Senator, regardless of party.

Incidentally, I was told then that state Sen. Dan Webster engineered this trick. He is now challenging Alan Grayson for a seat in the House.

But that was only the beginning. Even more discreet things were being done by the lackies drawing the lines. Computer technology offered lawmakers tools and skills unheard of in the prior 1992 redistricting process. Racial gerrymandering? Kid stuff. With new demographic software and precision election records, lawmakers could cut neighborhoods where they had performed poorly clear out of their districts. Democrats and Republicans could literally swap constituent strongholds. Sure, Democrats made a fuss about the GOP protecting its majority, but somehow lawmakers in hotly contested districts in 2000 suddenly had districts so one-sided challengers could not be found for them by November 2002.

Indeed, lawmakers suddenly found themselves better protected than ever before, enough so that the Legislature in 2004, which polls showed as the most unpopular in the nation, had every single member seeking re-election emerge victorious. This doesn't even discuss the number of districts where no re-election battle need be waged at all. As I mentioned a couple weeks ago, more than half the state House districts in the state this year only have one of the two major parties competing for the seat, and many of those saw lawmakers elected with no opposition.

Fair Districts Florida wants the next process to go better. I have my doubts over how effective their ballot language will be. Promises to eliminate any "intent" not to favor a political party seem to me rather hard to enforce. But it's a start. Should they end up on the ballot, I will vote for Amendments 5 and 6. The intent is good, even if the proposals lack sharp enough teeth.

Of course, the amendments are being challenged in court as well, and by none other than Reps. Diaz-Balart, R-Miami, and Corrine Brown, D-Jacksonville. At least the two can each offer some humor to this saga. After getting elected in a new, custom-fit district in 2002, Diaz-Balart is running for his life away from his own voters and running for his retiring brother Lincoln's seat instead. (Get the joke now?) Brown represents one of the worst gerrymandered districts in Florida, one that actually had to be redrawn by a judge more than a decade ago but still looks crooked. These two are bipartisan poster children what is wrong with redistricting the way it works in Florida today.

With any luck, things will be better in the near future, but in the meantime I would rather not trust my political opponents with the redistricting process come 2012. If one party has 3-to-one margin control of either Chamber at that point, we are in for another decade of very ugly politics in the Sunshine State.

Monday, May 10, 2010

The Ever-Changing Fifth

While everyone was focused on the Senate race at Florida's filing deadline, a somewhat crafty retirement trick in Florida's Fifth Congressional District was conducted by Rep. Ginny Brown-Waite, R-Brooksville. With no warning and with the filing deadline minutes past, Brown-Waite announced her retirement and endorsed Sheriff Rich Nugent to fill her seat. The Cook Political Report reported the news with disdain for the diabolic nature with which Ginny froze out both Republican contenders and Democratic challengers. But I can't help but just chuckle. To understand why, I must take us in a time machine to 2002.

I actually covered Brown-Waite's first run for Congress, so this news was especially interesting to me. Back then, I was head political reporter at The Daily Commercial and started the year watching the curious process of re-apportionment. Florida, it seemed, was due for a couple new Congressional districts, and the Florida Legislature was determined those would go to Republicans. That would happen, but national Republicans wanted more. The late Senate President Jim King said they demanded four more seats for Republicans, the two new ones and two which belonged to sitting Democrats. King said that was impossible, but that maybe they could meet halfway and pick off one Democratic incumbent.

Then-state Sen. Ginny Brown-Waite happened to live in Florida's Fifth, and was put in charge of the redistricting process. The Fifth, at the time, was held by Democrat Karen Thurman, who incidentally had drawn that district herself 10 years prior in the last reapportionment process. Things got a little nasty, some rhetoric was tossed around Tallahassee, but in the end, the district got redrawn to include all of Brown-Waite's Senate district, and Democratic strongholds like Gainesville got shifted into the neighboring Sixth. Skip to November and Brown-Waite narrowly defeats Thurman.

So it is nothing surprising that Ginny made sure the seat is going to a hand-picked replacement. It was always her customized district, after all. And thanks to how she played the game, this seat is out of contention either for Republican challenger Jason Sager or Democrat Jim Piccillo, doomed also-rans butthe only guys who got in this race when Brown-Waite looked like she was planning a re-election campaign.

But this race never was top-tier for 2010. The real action on this seat has to be in 2012, and will likely hinge once again on the reapportionment process.

I am sure the Florida Democratic Party knows this. As it happens, the state party today is chaired by none other than Karen Thurman. I suspect she has an interest in retaking this seat. Honestly, I was surprised in 2004 when she didn't run herself and try to take it back immediately. But with most of the growth in this seat centered around The Villages, the seat is more conservative than when she originally lost it.

Of course, since her election as party chair, we have certainly seen a savvy in Thurman's campaigning ability that wasn't completely evident during her last Congressional run.
Then, she was wishy washy on issues like the War in Iraq, and looked like politics was guiding her votes. Ironically, it is in a purely political capacity that she has appeared the most principled.

Thurman is the first Democratic chair to win a net pickup of seats in the state House and Senate. She also managed to pick off such seemingly safe Republican congressmen in Central Florida as Ric Keller and Tom Feeney. The latter, as it happens, was in one of those new districts drawn the same year Thurman was screwed by the reapportionment process. So what now?

I think Thurman is more interested this year is winning seats in the Legislature. That way, when districts are redrawn in 2012, there will be a fighting chance for the Dems to take back seats like the Fifth. In fact, I expect she may want another shot at that one herself.

So if the Dems ever want to take back the Fifth, the key is probably taking back the state Senate. That will be hard, but probably much easier than beating Brown-Waite's handpicked successor in her own handdrawn district.