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Tuesday, November 15, 2011

Stop Calling New Frontrunners

I guess all of the pundits, blogs and media outlets are ready to declare Newt Gingrich as the new GOP frontrunner, even though everyone knows he is unlikely to win the nod, much less the presidency. This seems contrary, but it it true.

So can we just stop saying the term front-runner? Can we admit that Mitt Romney has not sewn this up, but that there is no way to tell today, in mid-November, who will start winning primaries, caucuses, and ultimately the nomination?

Here is the deal. Newt Gingrich won't win in Iowa or New Hampshire, and if he is a blip in the polls then, it will be amazing. Just as winning Ames meant nothing for Michele Bachmann, being ahead in the polls right now is not important for Newt Gingrich. If there is a front-runner today, it doesn't matter anyhow. Winning polls doesn't win elections.

Just saying.

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